ICC讯(Xun) 2025年(Nian)第(Di)一(Yi)季(Ji)度(Du),(?)光(Guang)通(Tong)信(Xin)产(Chan)业(Ye)链(Lian)在(Zai)AI、(?)算(Suan)力(Li)及(Ji)数(Shu)据(Ju)中(Zhong)心(Xin)需(Xu)求(Qiu)的(De)推(Tui)动(Dong)下(Xia)迎(Ying)来(Lai)爆(Bao)发(Fa)式(Shi)增(Zeng)长(Chang)。(?)研(Yan)究(Jiu)机(Ji)构(Gou)Cignal
AI报(Bao)告(Gao)显(Xian)示(Shi),(?)800G光(Guang)模(Mo)块(Kuai)出(Chu)货(Huo)量(Liang)将(Jiang)增(Zeng)长(Chang)60%,(?)1.6T技(Ji)术(Shu)下(Xia)半(Ban)年(Nian)开(Kai)始(Shi)规(Gui)模(Mo)化(Hua)部(Bu)署(Shu)。(?)从(Cong)芯(Xin)片(Pian)、(?)光(Guang)纤(Xian)到(Dao)光(Guang)模(Mo)块(Kuai),(?)产(Chan)业(Ye)链(Lian)各(Ge)环(Huan)节(Jie)企(Qi)业(Ye)财(Cai)报(Bao)均(Jun)反(Fan)映(Ying)出(Chu)强(Qiang)劲(Jin)的(De)市(Shi)场(Chang)需(Xu)求(Qiu)与(Yu)积(Ji)极(Ji)的(De)技(Ji)术(Shu)布(Bu)局(Ju)。(?)
芯(Xin)片(Pian)商(Shang):(?)MACOM数(Shu)据(Ju)中(Zhong)心(Xin)业(Ye)务(Wu)增(Zeng)长(Chang)显(Xian)著(Zhu)
MACOM 2025财(Cai)年(Nian)第(Di)二(?)季(Ji)度(Du)营(Ying)收(Shou)达(Da)2.359亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan),(?)超(Chao)出(Chu)预(Yu)期(Qi)。(?)数(Shu)据(Ju)中(Zhong)心(Xin)业(Ye)务(Wu)同(Tong)比(Bi)增(Zeng)长(Chang)11%,(?)主(Zhu)要(Yao)得(De)益(Yi)于(Yu)800G SR8和(He)400G
SR4技(Ji)术(Shu)的(De)普(Pu)及(Ji)。(?)线(Xian)性(Xing)可(Ke)插(Cha)拔(Ba)光(Guang)学(Xue)((?)LPO)(?)技(Ji)术(Shu)预(Yu)计(Ji)未(Wei)来(Lai)一(Yi)至(Zhi)两(Liang)年(Nian)成(Cheng)为(Wei)主(Zhu)流(Liu)。(?)电(Dian)信(Xin)业(Ye)务(Wu)环(Huan)比(Bi)增(Zeng)长(Chang)18%,(?)5G和(He)卫(Wei)星(Xing)通(Tong)信(Xin)需(Xu)求(Qiu)复(Fu)苏(Su)。(?)公(Gong)司(Si)计(Ji)划(Hua)扩(Kuo)产(Chan),(?)未(Wei)来(Lai)12至(Zhi)15个(Ge)月(Yue)内(Nei)将(Jiang)4英(Ying)寸(Cun)晶(Jing)圆(Yuan)产(Chan)能(Neng)提(Ti)升(Sheng)30%,(?)并(Bing)推(Tui)进(Jin)美(Mei)国(Guo)本(Ben)土(Tu)生(Sheng)产(Chan)以(Yi)应(Ying)对(Dui)潜(Qian)在(Zai)关(Guan)税(Shui)风(Feng)险(Xian)。(?)新(Xin)产(Chan)品(Pin)如(Ru)200G光(Guang)电(Dian)探(Tan)测(Ce)器(Qi)和(He)Opto-Amp光(Guang)放(Fang)大(Da)器(Qi)进(Jin)一(Yi)步(Bu)巩(Gong)固(Gu)技(Ji)术(Shu)优(You)势(Shi)。(?)
光(Guang)纤(Xian)光(Guang)缆(Lan)商(Shang):(?)康(Kang)宁(Ning)光(Guang)通(Tong)信(Xin)业(Ye)务(Wu)增(Zeng)长(Chang)46%
康(Kang)宁(Ning)第(Di)一(Yi)季(Ji)度(Du)营(Ying)收(Shou)37亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan),(?)光(Guang)通(Tong)信(Xin)业(Ye)务(Wu)销(Xiao)售(Shou)额(E)同(Tong)比(Bi)增(Zeng)长(Chang)46%,(?)其(Qi)中(Zhong)企(Qi)业(Ye)业(Ye)务(Wu)因(Yin)AI数(Shu)据(Ju)中(Zhong)心(Xin)需(Xu)求(Qiu)激(Ji)增(Zeng)106%。(?)公(Gong)司(Si)上(Shang)调(Diao)企(Qi)业(Ye)业(Ye)务(Wu)四(Si)年(Nian)复(Fu)合(He)增(Zeng)长(Chang)率(Lu)预(Yu)期(Qi)至(Zhi)30%,(?)并(Bing)加(Jia)速(Su)太(Tai)阳(Yang)能(Neng)和(He)光(Guang)通(Tong)信(Xin)产(Chan)品(Pin)产(Chan)能(Neng)扩(Kuo)张(Zhang)。(?)美(Mei)国(Guo)本(Ben)土(Tu)生(Sheng)产(Chan)战(Zhan)略(Lue)显(Xian)著(Zhu)降(Jiang)低(Di)关(Guan)税(Shui)影(Ying)响(Xiang),(?)近(Jin)90%的(De)美(Mei)国(Guo)销(Xiao)售(Shou)收(Shou)入(Ru)来(Lai)自(Zi)本(Ben)土(Tu)工(Gong)厂(Chang)。(?)康(Kang)宁(Ning)预(Yu)计(Ji)第(Di)二(?)季(Ji)度(Du)营(Ying)收(Shou)达(Da)38.5亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan),(?)长(Chang)期(Qi)目(Mu)标(Biao)为(Wei)2026年(Nian)实(Shi)现(Xian)200亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)年(Nian)度(Du)销(Xiao)售(Shou)。(?)
合(He)同(Tong)制(Zhi)造(Zao)商(Shang):(?)Fabrinet电(Dian)信(Xin)业(Ye)务(Wu)复(Fu)苏(Su)
Fabrinet财(Cai)年(Nian)第(Di)三(San)季(Ji)度(Du)营(Ying)收(Shou)8.72亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan),(?)电(Dian)信(Xin)业(Ye)务(Wu)收(Shou)入(Ru)同(Tong)比(Bi)增(Zeng)长(Chang)42%,(?)数(Shu)据(Ju)中(Zhong)心(Xin)互(Hu)连(Lian)((?)DCI)(?)解(Jie)决(Jue)方(Fang)案(An)需(Xu)求(Qiu)强(Qiang)劲(Jin)。(?)数(Shu)据(Ju)通(Tong)信(Xin)业(Ye)务(Wu)因(Yin)客(Ke)户(Hu)向(Xiang)1.6T过(Guo)渡(Du)短(Duan)期(Qi)承(Cheng)压(Ya),(?)但(Dan)公(Gong)司(Si)已(Yi)与(Yu)AWS达(Da)成(Cheng)合(He)作(Zuo),(?)为(Wei)1.6T光(Guang)模(Mo)块(Kuai)量(Liang)产(Chan)做(Zuo)准(Zhun)备(Bei)。(?)泰(Tai)国(Guo)工(Gong)厂(Chang)的(De)产(Chan)能(Neng)扩(Kuo)张(Zhang)计(Ji)划(Hua)稳(Wen)步(Bu)推(Tui)进(Jin),(?)关(Guan)税(Shui)影(Ying)响(Xiang)有(You)限(Xian)。(?)公(Gong)司(Si)预(Yu)计(Ji)第(Di)四(Si)季(Ji)度(Du)营(Ying)收(Shou)8.6亿(Yi)至(Zhi)9亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan),(?)2026年(Nian)增(Zeng)长(Chang)前(Qian)景(Jing)乐(Le)观(Guan)。(?)
光(Guang)器(Qi)件(Jian)和(He)模(Mo)块(Kuai)商(Shang):(?)AOI、(?)Lumentum、(?)Coherent加(Jia)速(Su)技(Ji)术(Shu)迭(Die)代(Dai)
AOI
800G产(Chan)品(Pin)下(Xia)半(Ban)年(Nian)将(Jiang)放(Fang)量(Liang)。(?)公(Gong)司(Si)计(Ji)划(Hua)将(Jiang)美(Mei)国(Guo)德(De)州(Zhou)工(Gong)厂(Chang)的(De)800G月(Yue)产(Chan)能(Neng)提(Ti)升(Sheng)至(Zhi)4万(Wan)只(Zhi),(?)中(Zhong)国(Guo)组(Zu)件(Jian)占(Zhan)比(Bi)降(Jiang)至(Zhi)10%以(Yi)下(Xia)。(?)Lumentum云(Yun)与(Yu)网(Wang)络(Luo)业(Ye)务(Wu)收(Shou)入(Ru)同(Tong)比(Bi)增(Zeng)长(Chang)16%,(?)AI驱(Qu)动(Dong)800G/1.6T需(Xu)求(Qiu)激(Ji)增(Zeng),(?)EML芯(Xin)片(Pian)产(Chan)能(Neng)计(Ji)划(Hua)翻(Fan)倍(Bei)。(?)公(Gong)司(Si)正(Zheng)将(Jiang)生(Sheng)产(Chan)转(Zhuan)移(Yi)至(Zhi)泰(Tai)国(Guo)以(Yi)应(Ying)对(Dui)关(Guan)税(Shui)影(Ying)响(Xiang)。(?)Coherent财(Cai)年(Nian)第(Di)三(San)季(Ji)度(Du)营(Ying)收(Shou)15亿(Yi)美(Mei)元(Yuan)创(Chuang)纪(Ji)录(Lu),(?)数(Shu)据(Ju)中(Zhong)心(Xin)业(Ye)务(Wu)同(Tong)比(Bi)增(Zeng)长(Chang)54%。(?)1.6T光(Guang)模(Mo)块(Kuai)年(Nian)内(Nei)量(Liang)产(Chan),(?)3.2T研(Yan)发(Fa)同(Tong)步(Bu)推(Tui)进(Jin)。(?)公(Gong)司(Si)强(Qiang)调(Diao)美(Mei)国(Guo)本(Ben)土(Tu)制(Zhi)造(Zao)优(You)势(Shi),(?)60个(Ge)生(Sheng)产(Chan)基(Ji)地(Di)中(Zhong)半(Ban)数(Shu)位(Wei)于(Yu)美(Mei)国(Guo)。(?)
技(Ji)术(Shu)演(Yan)进(Jin)与(Yu)市(Shi)场(Chang)趋(Qu)势(Shi)
400G技(Ji)术(Shu)仍(Reng)是(Shi)当(Dang)前(Qian)市(Shi)场(Chang)主(Zhu)力(Li),(?)但(Dan)800G增(Zeng)长(Chang)迅(Xun)猛(Meng),(?)1.6T技(Ji)术(Shu)预(Yu)计(Ji)2026年(Nian)放(Fang)量(Liang)。(?)共(Gong)封(Feng)装(Zhuang)光(Guang)学(Xue)((?)CPO)(?)技(Ji)术(Shu)短(Duan)期(Qi)内(Nei)对(Dui)可(Ke)插(Cha)拔(Ba)模(Mo)块(Kuai)影(Ying)响(Xiang)有(You)限(Xian)。(?)电(Dian)信(Xin)市(Shi)场(Chang)复(Fu)苏(Su)明(Ming)显(Xian),(?)400ZR相(Xiang)干(Gan)模(Mo)块(Kuai)和(He)WSS设(She)备(Bei)需(Xu)求(Qiu)增(Zeng)长(Chang)。(?)尽(Jin)管(Guan)关(Guan)税(Shui)和(He)贸(Mao)易(Yi)不(Bu)确(Que)定(Ding)性(Xing)存(Cun)在(Zai),(?)企(Qi)业(Ye)普(Pu)遍(Bian)通(Tong)过(Guo)本(Ben)土(Tu)化(Hua)生(Sheng)产(Chan)和(He)供(Gong)应(Ying)链(Lian)调(Diao)整(Zheng)降(Jiang)低(Di)风(Feng)险(Xian)。(?)
未(Wei)来(Lai)展(Zhan)望(Wang)
光(Guang)通(Tong)信(Xin)产(Chan)业(Ye)链(Lian)企(Qi)业(Ye)普(Pu)遍(Bian)对(Dui)下(Xia)季(Ji)度(Du)及(Ji)长(Chang)期(Qi)增(Zeng)长(Chang)持(Chi)乐(Le)观(Guan)态(Tai)度(Du)。(?)AI与(Yu)数(Shu)据(Ju)中(Zhong)心(Xin)需(Xu)求(Qiu)持(Chi)续(Xu)爆(Bao)发(Fa),(?)800G/1.6T技(Ji)术(Shu)加(Jia)速(Su)落(Luo)地(Di),(?)产(Chan)能(Neng)扩(Kuo)张(Zhang)和(He)本(Ben)土(Tu)化(Hua)生(Sheng)产(Chan)成(Cheng)为(Wei)关(Guan)键(Jian)词(Ci)。(?)随(Sui)着(Zhuo)电(Dian)信(Xin)市(Shi)场(Chang)进(Jin)一(Yi)步(Bu)复(Fu)苏(Su)和(He)技(Ji)术(Shu)迭(Die)代(Dai)深(Shen)化(Hua),(?)行(Xing)业(Ye)有(You)望(Wang)迎(Ying)来(Lai)新(Xin)一(Yi)轮(Lun)增(Zeng)长(Chang)周(Zhou)期(Qi)。(?)
备(Bei)注(Zhu):(?)本(Ben)文(Wen)中(Zhong)MACOM 2025财(Cai)年(Nian)第(Di)二(?)季(Ji)度(Du)、(?)Fabrinet财(Cai)年(Nian)第(Di)三(San)季(Ji)度(Du)、(?)Coherent财(Cai)年(Nian)第(Di)三(San)季(Ji)度(Du)都(Du)基(Ji)本(Ben)对(Dui)应(Ying)日(Ri)历(Li)年(Nian)2025年(Nian)第(Di)一(Yi)季(Ji)度(Du)。(?)